Here’s a clear, up-to-date summary of what recent climate science and international reports say about global efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, where we stand now, and what the outlook suggests for the future
1. Global Emissions Are Still Rising and the World Is Warming Fast
• New global monitoring data shows 2025 was the third-hottest year on record, with temperatures nearing the critical 1.5 °C limit set under the Paris Agreement — and that limit may be crossed as early as the end of this decade if current trends continue. (The Guardian)
• Analyses also indicate the 1.5 °C threshold could be breached a decade earlier than previously expected, intensifying climate impacts worldwide. (Financial Times)
• Despite growth in renewables, global fossil fuel CO₂ emissions are projected to reach a new record high in 2025, driven by rising energy demand. (Global Carbon Budget)
These trends underscore that current emission trajectories are not yet bending sharply downward — even with more clean energy deployment and policy commitments.
2. Countries’ Climate Plans Still Fall Short
• A recent UN Environment Programme (UNEP) assessment warns that many nations’ updated climate plans barely move the needle on expected warming, meaning global emissions aren’t dropping fast enough. (Carbon Brief)
• OECD reports highlight a loss of momentum in global climate action, with slowing implementation of mitigation strategies. (AFR)
• Broader analyses of national climate pledges (known as Nationally Determined Contributions or NDCs) show that, even if fully implemented, the combined impact would cut emissions only modestly — and still far below what’s needed for 1.5 °C pathways. (NewClimate Institute)
In other words, ambition exists but execution lags, and many targets are not aligned with rapid decarbonization.
3. IPCC and Global Scientific Assessments Still Urge Immediate Action
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) — the world’s leading climate science body — continues to emphasize that:
• Emissions must peak by around 2025 at the latest and then steeply decline to avoid the worst impacts of warming. (World Resources Institute)
• To keep warming close to 1.5 °C, global CO₂ emissions would need to fall about 45 % from 2010 levels by 2030 and reach net-zero around mid-century. (IPCC)
• Meeting these targets requires rapid, deep and sustained greenhouse gas reductions across energy, transport, industry, agriculture, and land use. (Circular Ecology)
The consistent message from IPCC and UN reports is that urgent action in this decade is crucial — the window for limiting warming to safer levels is closing fast.
4. Progress Is Uneven — But There Are Positive Signals
Corporate and Non-State Action
• Some sectors and companies are stepping up: recent data shows Japanese companies leading global climate leadership rankings, with stronger emissions targets and climate governance. (Reuters)
National Policies
• Many countries now have economy-wide emissions targets and are incorporating adaptation measures into their climate planning. (Down To Earth)
• Governments are also expanding emissions cutting policies to new industrial sectors — for example, India recently brought more industries under greenhouse gas reduction regulations. (The Times of India)
While progress exists at multiple levels, it remains patchy and insufficient relative to the scale of change needed globally.
What Recent Reports Say About the Gap Between Pledges and Action
Emission Gap
• UNEP’s Emissions Gap Report 2025 finds that even full implementation of current pledges would reduce emissions modestly — but still well below the reductions needed for the 1.5 °C or even 2 °C targets. (UNEP – UN Environment Programme)
Temperature Pathways
• Scientific assessments show that current policies and pledges align more with a warming pathway above 2 °C rather than the safer 1.5 °C. (IPCC)
This means the world is not on track to meet the most ambitious climate goals unless countries significantly strengthen policies and implementation this decade.
FAQs
Are global emissions going down?
No — recent data shows emissions are still rising and likely to hit record highs in 2025, meaning current reduction efforts are not yet sufficient to reverse the trend. (Global Carbon Budget)
Can the world still limit warming to 1.5 °C?
It may still be possible, but only if emissions peak soon and then drop rapidly — reductions of roughly 45 % by 2030 and net-zero by around 2050 are needed. (IPCC)
Why do climate pledges fall short?
Many pledges lack strong implementation plans, enforcement, or the necessary technological and financial backing to deliver the promised cuts. (NewClimate Institute)
What role do non-government actors play?
Companies, cities, and sub-national governments can push ambitions forward — for example, stronger corporate targets and renewable energy investment. (Reuters)
What’s the most urgent climate priority now?
Delivering deep emission cuts this decade across all major sectors — energy, transport, industry, and agriculture — while scaling up adaptation and resilience. (World Resources Institute)









